CHANGES IN FLOOD CHARACTERISTICS DUE TO LAND USE CHANGES IN A RIVER BASIN
G.A. Schultz
Institute of Hydrology,Water Resources Management and Environmental
Techniques
Ruhr University Bochum
44780 Bochum, Germany
Recent extreme flood events in the center of Europe caused public discussion
on the question whether more frequent and more severe floods are getting
and conditions for flooding getting more severe are at least partially
man-made. This paper presents a research project, in which the impact of
the land use changes on flood hydrographs is investigated. After a presentation
of a distributed rainfall-runoff model, which parameters are determined
on the basis of satellite imagery, digital terrain models and digital maps,
the validity of the model is demonstrated for a subcatchment within the
international Mosel river basin. Two types of land use are investigated:
the increased urbanization and forest disease leading to large scale forest
death. Scenarios are developed for the test catchment: a) the urbanized
area is considerably increased and b) all trees above 400 m asl are assumed
to be dead. It is shown how such land use changes can be generated on maps
and how the parameters of the hydrological model change according to those
land use changes. For a selected historical flood the impact of the changes
on the flood hydrograph are presented: in both cases a) and b) flood conditions
became more severe, i.e. the rising limb becomes more steep, the peak considerably
higher and the flood volume significantly larger. Both investigated types
of land use changes produce a significant deterioration of flood conditions.