U.S. - Italy Research Workshop on the
Hydrometeorology, Impacts and Management of Extreme Floods
Perugia (Italy), November 13-17, 1995
SELF-SIMILARITY AS A PHYSICAL BASIS FOR REGIONALISATION OF FLOOD PROBABILITIES
Carlo DE MICHELE and Renzo ROSSO
DIIAR - Politecnico di Milano
Milano, Italy
The self-similarity conjecture can provide an assessment of regionalisation
procedures for flood frequency analysis if the scaling properties of flood
flows as parametrised by drainage area are considered. This approach is
developed to investigate whether simple scaling can be used to discriminate
among different flood probabilities in relatively small regions with high
variability of climate and geomorphological features. Detailed simulations
for a small basin in Thyrrhenian Liguria (North-West Italy) show self-similarity
or simple scaling to properly represent the spatial variability of flood
probabilities. The scaling properties of annual flood series for North-West
Italy are also investigated. Although flood statistics display multiscaling
when considering North-West Italy as an individual homogeneous region,
one can classify geographically consistent regions in this area where self-similarity
cannot be rejected. Accordingly, the index flood procedure can be properly
applied to these regions in order to estimate flood probabilities in ungauged
catchments, and the scaling exponent of flood probabilities resulting from
both basin simulations and frequency analysis of annual series for the
region including this basin.